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Queens Park Rangers 1 Watford 0 (11/03/2023) 12/03/2023

Posted by Matt Rowson in Match reports.
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1- So.  Been in Spain all week.  Did I miss anything?

2- There’s got  to come a point, surely, where the tutting and the handwringing stops and Something Happens.  When a straw is recognised as the final one, when all of this bullshit being served up in front of us is deemed enough already.  Are we there yet?  On balance we should have been there a long time ago, much as it’s hard to know quite what to do from this distance.  Difficult not to feel that this sense of impotence is part of the masterplan, a deliberate and cultivated consequence of the deluge of nonsense.

The smokescreens are quite deliberate too, of course.  They don’t need to be artfully constructed, no conjuror’s slight of hand this… it’s quite easy to provide a distraction from what’s going on over there by creating something else to get outraged about over here.  It’s not as if we’re short of options.  The Gary Lineker thing is just such a smokescreen;  the rights and wrongs of the argument itself are so straightforward that they don’t need explaining unless your brain’s full of cabbage, in which case no amount of explanation is going to help. But whilst we’re getting all outraged about that, we’re suddenly not talking about Hancock’s WhatsApps and what they suggest, or the cost of living crisis, or nurses’ wages, or the litany of other charges against this disgusting government including the shameful, illegal, disgraceful demonising of refugees which prompted Lineker’s tweet in the first place.  Meanwhile the BBC, the clearest loser out of the whole episode, tears itself apart from the inside which was surely the point of Richard Sharp, Robbie Gibb and Tim Davie being there at all.

3- Meanwhile.

It comes to something when a Maths lecture blows a game of football out of the water for entertainment value.  Not just entertainment value actually… excitement, inspiration, escapism, a lot of the things we watch football for.  Hell, some sense of life being worth living and not wanting to drive drawing pins into your forehead.  But then we live in a strange world.  And much as the Maths lecturer had the advantage of being delivered by the remarkable Professor Hannah Fry, and on the gently warm and sunny Spanish coast rather than cold, wet and almost joyless Shepherds Bush and much as the match itself, which I’m desperately avoiding trying to get on to, wasn’t much of a benchmark it’s still a remarkable revelation.  After all I was being paid to be there, and paid through the nose to be at the football (again) out of my own pocket.  

During her talk, Professor Fry quoted psychologist Daniel Kahneman‘s assertion that “When faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution”.  A statement that provides countless opportunities to wander ever further away from the supposed subject of this report but I’ll resist the temptation to ask “Is Keir Starmer substituting in the question ‘How do I win the next election?’ for the real question, ‘How do I do anything halfway useful?’ ” and steer back on topic.

Because one has to wonder whether “Should we change the head coach?” is the question that’s being substituted in because it’s the easy one to answer.  The harder one is “How do we sort this shit out?”, the subtext of which regarding underperforming players and listless performances will need no further elaboration to anyone who’s got this far.  “Sort it out Taylor!” was a much mocked and revisited theme of BSaD reports during GT’s second era on the odd occasion (they did happen) when things didn’t look great.  A shout of desperation and hopelessness from the stands that suggested so little but betrayed so much.  “Sorting it out” is difficult when problems run deep.  Changing the head coach, as we know, is pretty easy.

4- Bilić’s removal was, at the very least, easy to make a case for.  Indeed, most (not all) of the dismissals have felt at least reasonable at the time, which begs questions about both the hiring and the environment in which the Head Coaches have to work.  When the injured players came back and the performances got worse…  did the players know what was coming and step back and wait accordingly?  Consciously or subconsciously?

I don’t believe that the hire-and-fire thing is totally without credibility.  It manifestly has worked in the past, and I don’t really see that the fact that we’re underperforming now precludes it from working in the future.  Thing is, it’s a bit like hiring Sam Allardyce.  It’s fine for as long as it’s working.  When it stops working you’ll find little patience from a fanbase who want someone to invest trust in and are tired of being the butt of everyone’s jokes.

5- This is a monumentally terrible game of football.  The hosts play a full and effective role in this outcome, for all that they deservedly win it…  indeed, it’s not stretching the truth too much to suggest that for all of our failure to look remotely threatening (again), it could have gone a very different way had it been us that pulled a goal out of nowhere rather than Rangers.  Arguing that “If we’d scored and they hadn’t we’d have won the game” doesn’t add much in terms of insight admittedly but… Tim Iroegbunam’s fine finish, abetted fully by hapless non-challenges from Choudhury and Porteous and perhaps by Bachmann’s positioning, was a startling outbreak of competence on an afternoon distinctly lacking in similar from either side. 

Prior to that, QPR had looked every inch a side that had gone forever without a win.  They were the more competitive, aggressive side from the off but…  in a way that suggested willing adherence to what their own new boss Gareth Ainsworth had installed as the new blueprint (a blueprint short of surprises to anyone who saw Ainsworth’s Wycombe side in action) but also a choking lack of confidence.  Chris Martin has been employing the same base thuggery as a Championship centre-forward since Archimedes was deriving the value of pi.  Here, his petulant punch in Wesley Hoedt’s back occurred in the third minute, not the dying seconds of a lost game as might have been more likely. Right wing-back Aaron Drewe, making only his second league start, looked horribly jumpy and some rare excitement was provided by an overhit Jimmy Dunne backpass that briefly appeared to trouble a stranded Samba Dieng.  It was to prove the closest we’d come to scoring, and no Watford player was involved.

The last thing that we needed was for this physical but anxious Rangers side to have something to defend.  If we’d gotten the break they might have folded themselves, but taking the lead buoyed the Loftus Road crowd and gave the home side visibly more belief.  Drewe was now hammering up and down the right flank in front of us whilst we struggled for any attacking shape at all, our only first half forward movement coming from JP taking the game into his own hands, often with the end point being a free kick in a threatening area which inevitably delivered nothing of interest.

6- The second half was better.  We came out with a bit of zip, the previously invisible Sarr was suddenly popping up here and there (if to little consequence) and the game being played in the half closest to us just as the first half had.  You don’t need to be a Professor of Mathematics, however, to be aware that zero is kind of absolute, that bigger or better than zero doesn’t have to amount to very much.  Positives, if you’re minded to look for them, were provided by the Chris Wilder trademark of all three centre backs in what was initially a 3-4-3 formation surging forward with the ball and providing some disruption which conservative sideways passes hadn’t provoked.  We are, however, cripplingly low on belief and whilst our focal point Keinan Davis worked hard to hold the ball up his reluctance to shoot at a half chance scuppered us more than once.

Two things can be guaranteed from any Watford game at the moment.  One is that at some point there’ll be a kerfuffle in a penalty area prior to a corner; maybe an opponent will hit the deck clutching their face in mock agony and we’ll be on our feet in outrage before noting that it’s Wesley Hoedt involved again and, once more, you don’t need to be a Professor of Mathematics to spot a pattern evolving. 

The second reliable touchpoint is the fact that we’re still easily outfought, outbullied.  QPR were aggressive and wandered over the line pretty frequently but we’ve got to be able to fight this by more than simply following the referee around moaning about it.  We’ve got to be much more resilient.  For all that we had more of the ball in the second half, for all that Louza was more prominent and we did actually get balls in dangerous places, an equaliser never felt like more than a remote possibility.  When João Pedro’s twisting and turning finally saw him go down in the box rather than outside it referee James Linington waved appeals away;  when we countered deep into injury time and the options seemed to swarm either side of an advancing Louza he found Davis with an imperfect pass, the centre forward dug the ball out from his feet, hesitated, tried to open a better angle, and hesitated again as the chance closed up.  The game ended with an inordinate number of QPR players going down with cramp;  the official did a reasonable job of refusing physios when he thought he was being played and added on seven minutes to a half with no goals, but adding extra time doesn’t compensate for disruption of momentum, of which we had precious little to begin with.

7- I’d said that Shepherds Bush was almost joyless.  The brief joy was provided by a hitherto undiscovered Ethiopian restaurant hidden in Shepherds Bush market, the high point of a difficult day that concluded with a prolonged and uncomfortable train journey home.  Daughter 2 continues to dutifully cross the grounds off but her dedication has been given precious little reward over the last two and a half seasons of matches watchable live.  Daughter 1 never has any problem telling me if she doesn’t fancy the football, all power to her for that, but Daughter 2 might be more likely to not want to upset her Dad by not attending.  I’ve frequently promised her that she doesn’t need to come, shouldn’t come, if she doesn’t want to.  I’ve not been brave enough to repeat that assertion recently.

If the hoped for liberation of our listless, punchless side under Chris Wilder is to be realised over the coming weeks I’m unlikely to be there to see it.  I’ll be at Birmingham but probably unable to file a timely report;  thereafter a prior engagement next weekend is followed by a trip to Addis Ababa to eat yet more Ethiopian food.  

I’ll be back in circulation for Bristol City after Easter.  

Until then, yoooorns.

Bachmann 3, Mario Gaspar 3, Sema 2, Porteous 2, Cathcart 3, Hoedt 2, Choudhury 2, Louza 3, Sarr 2, *João Pedro 3*, Davis 2
Subs: Asprilla (for Porteous, 76) NA, Assombalonga (for Sarr, 77) NA, Aráujo, Koné, Kabasele, Ngakia, Hamer

Comments»

1. Harefield Hornet - 12/03/2023

As as statistician you’ll be fully aware of the science behind it. I don’t normally go through stats after games other than possession percentages and shots on goal etc but the Sky Sports stats on the game were interesting. Anyone who witnessed it live would have (like myself) be under no other illusion than we outfought all over the pitch. The actual stats prove the opposite is true with regards to duals ( including aerial duels) won and passes completed and accuracy etc. The other go to take away for most people was that we’d beaten by a side playing long ball tactics – when in fact the stats prove we actually played more longer passes than they did ? – all irrelevant really I suppose because the stat that truly matters is the 1-0 score line. Just goes to show though what a deceiving game Football can be when watched live and you’re caught up in the emotion. Thank God Troy is not playing on Tuesday!

Matt Rowson - 12/03/2023

Maybe another example of answering the easier question? “Who played more long passes” is easier to quantify than “who played the more direct football”. In this instance we may have played more longer passes because we were being closed down all over the pitch and hurried into longer balls?

Harefield Hornet - 12/03/2023

I used long passes as an example but our crossing and passing accuracy stats were much higher than theirs – as were the amount of interceptions -20 to their 13. Point is the stats didn’t seem to relate to the match I and many others thought they had seen ?

Matt Rowson - 12/03/2023

Haven’t seen them. But as you said previously, there’s only one stat that really counts – the rest can just provide insight.

2. David Wheatley - 12/03/2023

let’s hope the electorate are not taken in by this disgraceful current Government.

As for us, i suspect we could see one of the biggest squad overhauls this summer. I think our parachute payments are significantly reduced in year 2 and by dint of us only having one year in the prem.

3. skipton65 - 12/03/2023

Thanks for your report Matt – always appreciated. Last time out I expressed the view that these four games in March were key to our future.

Just 22 minutes in yesterday QPR had made 3 shots on target to our none.

By the time we got to 90 minutes, QPR had only added another single shot on target for a total of four. You can’t really describe that as the actions of an effective winning team which is why they’re still 19th with 4 straight losses before this game.

But their second shot on target was enough to win the game.

By 90 minutes we’d put just 2 shots on the target for no result. We don’t have a lack of talent. But whatever system Pozzo thinks he has – its NOT bringing out the best we have to offer.

Mid table finish.

Who knows what will happen after that.

Thanks again Matt – enjoy the Ethiopian experience – stay safe.

4. iamthesunking - 12/03/2023

Oh no! And you know how much I dislike seeing QPR win!

5. Old Git - 13/03/2023

I agree that the in-out policy of recruiting head coaches worked for a while but the Ranieri/Hodgson fiasco, the disastrous return of QSF and the brief regimes of Ivic, Mazzarri and Peason show it was more by luck than judgement. When Rob Edwards arrived we were told things were changing, he was there for the long haul and, as as he was seen as one of Britain’s brightest young managers, he’d be given time and support.
Eleven games later and you know the rest. I feel that maybe the best thing for WFC would be for Luton to get promoted and then have a good season in the Prem. Then, the message might get through. And I say this at risk of death threats from the kind of cretins who started a fight in the away end on Saturday, tried to invade the pitch and let off a smoke bomb.

Matt Rowson - 13/03/2023

To sort of quote Heraclitus, “you can never walk in the same river twice”. I don’t buy the leap of logic you suggest… loosely “worked… then didn’t… so they got lucky”. That kinda ignores the surgery that got us promoted in 2021 which FAR too many take for granted, and their track record with Udinese. That doesn’t mean there aren’t problems, that they’ve made mistakes or even that it will necessarily work in the future. But “got lucky” just doesn’t bear scrutiny.

Colin Wiggins - 13/03/2023

Cheers Matt. I hope your trip to Ethiopia goes well. And I hope that your family are nowhere near the horrors that are so poorly reported in the UK media.
All best
C

Sent from my iPhone

6. Timothy Wells - 13/03/2023

Thanks for the report Matt . it was a grim game and you wonder when we can shake ourselves out of this dreadful form . Coming up to Birmingham game with my son so I hope it’s then .if it is it will be a result of more passion effort and positivity then we’ve seen .
With Bilic gone and Wilders first attempt to get a tune out of these players failing .then it’s the players who must face up to it.
Enjoy Eithiopia seems like your going at the right time . Be safe .

Matt Rowson - 13/03/2023

Cheers Timothy

Old Git - 13/03/2023

We’ll have to disagree on that, Matt. It seems to me, with hindsight, that each appointment was a random roll of the dice. And the same with player recruitment. (Did we once have a player called Irene?). There seems to be no long term strategy. On the morning of the Preston game I watched ‘The Big Match Revisited’ on ITV4, the away draw at Upton Park from our first season in Division Two, with Sir Wilf’s memorable long range strike. In them thar days we had a manager who scouted for players of his own choice, to fit his own strategies, rather than having them randomly allocated, in the manner of Cluedo cards. Yes, I know the world has changed since then but it has also changed since the Pozzo’s first few years. The fact that they saw fit to recruit Ranieri, then Hodgson, both of them true yesterday’s men, indicates that they too are stuck in the past, albeit a more recent one than the one I’m stuck in.
And to be clear, I meant Pearson, not Peason, who is someone else entirely. Utterly wet and a weed. As any file kno.

7. Steve G - 14/03/2023

Looking on the bright side, at least we’ve got enough points in the bag to be more or less safe from relegation with 10 games still to play. A few more 0-0 draws and we’ll probably be mathematically guaranteed to stay up.

Matt Rowson - 14/03/2023

You happy clapper, you.


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